Volume 5, Issue 1 (2025)
jpt 2025, 5(1): 1001-1040 |
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Etemadoleslami Bakhtiari S M M, Hezareh M R. Di Bello on Smith's Solution to the Proof Paradoxes: A Correct Criticism?. jpt 2025; 5 (1) :1001-1040
URL: http://jpt.modares.ac.ir/article-34-79377-en.html
URL: http://jpt.modares.ac.ir/article-34-79377-en.html
1- , mohammadreza.hezareh.aut@gmail.com
Abstract: (71 Views)
Proof paradoxes refer to situations in which statistical evidence indicates that a suspect is the perpetrator, yet a conviction based solely on this evidence appears counterintuitive. The prevailing approach to addressing proof paradoxes involves establishing a criterion for distinguishing naked statistical evidence from other type of evidence. Smith introduces normic support as a criterion for the aforementioned distinction. Conversely, Di Bello proposes a modified version of normic support, arguing that the absence of access to undercutting defeaters in naked statistical evidence distinguishes it from other forms of evidence. In this research, we argue, in line with Pollock's perspective, that undercutting defeaters can still be accessed in the context of naked statistical evidence. Furthermore, by focusing on an example of proof paradoxes and drawing on Pollock's arguments-illustrated quantitatively by the base rate fallacy-we demonstrate the effectiveness of undercutting defeaters. Consequently, Di Bello's argument appears to be questionable.
Keywords: Proof paradoxes, Normic support, Naked statistical evidence, Undercutting defeater, Base rate fallacy, Smith, Di Bello, Pollock.
Article Type: Original Research |
Subject:
Philosophy of Science (Analytical)
Received: 2025/02/6 | Accepted: 2025/02/27 | Published: 2025/01/29
Received: 2025/02/6 | Accepted: 2025/02/27 | Published: 2025/01/29
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